With the unexpected passing of Ebrahim Raisi, Iran‘s upcoming leadership race is at a crucial stage, impacting both foreign and domestic policies during a pivotal time.
Out of over 80 original contenders, six approved candidates highlight the concentration of power under supreme leader Ali Khamenei and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
The race’s outcome could signify a potential power shift in the Islamic Republic.
Unlike Raisi, there isn’t an obvious frontrunner this time around. However, analysts are eyeing Saeed Jalili, a Khamenei appointee, and Mohammed Bagher Qalibaf as strong contenders.
Nuclear Divisions
Jalili and Qalibaf, both experienced in government roles and presidential bids, bring unique perspectives to the current campaign.
There are contrasting views on how they would handle Iran’s foreign policy. Jalili is predicted to continue Raisi’s policies, while Qalibaf may seek to revive the nuclear deal if Biden is reelected.
The unpredictability of the elections signals a potential change in Iran’s leadership dynamics, with contenders like Porumohammadi and Ghazizadeh Hashemi also in the running.
Unpopular Opinions
Iran’s political landscape remains unpredictable as candidates like Pezeshkian could potentially shake up the status quo with their unique policy approaches.
Low voter turnout in recent elections shows a growing disillusionment among the Iranian populace, making the upcoming race a critical juncture for the country’s future.
Shabani highlights the ongoing internal divisions within the ruling elite, underscoring the complexities of Iran’s political system.
‘Completely Unpredictable’
The upcoming elections in Iran present a scenario of uncertainty, with most candidates relatively unknown to the general public, making the outcome difficult to predict.
Sadeghi emphasizes that without a clear frontrunner, the focus shifts to candidates who align closely with the legacy of late President Raisi.